CNECC(SH:601611) HTSC·2025-10-31 08:47Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 18.21 [1][5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 739.4 million and a net profit attributable to the parent of RMB 11.1 million for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.3% and 24.0% respectively. The Q3 figures showed a revenue of RMB 204.7 million and a net profit of RMB 3.1 million, down 15.8% and 38.3% year-on-year. The lower net profit in Q3 was primarily due to reduced revenue from industrial and civil engineering projects [1] - The company is expected to benefit from sustained high demand in nuclear power investment, with an increasing proportion of nuclear engineering projects likely to enhance profitability [1][4] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved to 11.9%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year and 1.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, driven by the increased revenue share from nuclear engineering [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company experienced a significant decline in operating cash flow, reporting a negative cash flow of RMB 154.5 million, which is a decrease of RMB 121.1 million year-on-year. The Q3 cash flow was negative RMB 19.7 million, down RMB 12.1 million year-on-year, mainly due to increased cash payments for goods and services [3] - The company recorded a credit impairment loss of RMB 2.1 million for the first three quarters, a reduction of 19.6% year-on-year, indicating potential improvement in cash collection as the order revenue structure optimizes [3] Market Outlook - Domestic nuclear power investment reached RMB 858.2 billion from January to August 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 27.5%. The company, as a key player in nuclear power construction, is well-positioned to benefit from emerging fields such as nuclear fusion, which are expected to drive new growth [4] - The company anticipates continued growth in new contracts, with a total of RMB 1129.6 billion in new contracts signed in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged, with projected net profits attributable to the parent company of RMB 23.5 billion, RMB 28.2 billion, and RMB 32.4 billion for 2025 to 2027 respectively. The valuation year has been shifted to 2026, with a target market value of RMB 548 billion [5]