Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-31 11:50Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, projecting a stable growth in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027 [7]. Core Insights - The company has shown a positive turnaround in Q3 profit growth, with overseas business expansion accelerating. The new contracts signed in Q1-Q3 of 2025 reached 1.52 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.08%, with overseas contracts increasing by 94.52% [7]. - The company’s net profit for Q1-Q3 of 2025 was 14.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.63%, which aligns with expectations. The total revenue for the same period was 728.40 billion yuan, down 3.92% year-on-year [7]. - The company has a robust order backlog of 8.10 trillion yuan, with domestic orders at 6.51 trillion yuan and overseas orders at 1.59 trillion yuan, ensuring future growth [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 1,092.29 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.4%. The net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be 21.41 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 3.6% compared to the previous year [6][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 1.58 yuan, with a gross margin of 10.1% and a return on equity (ROE) of 7.6% [6][9]. - The company’s financial performance shows a decrease in operating cash flow, with a net outflow of 79.76 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 of 2025, which is a reduction of 9.26 billion yuan compared to the previous year [7].