Mabwell(SH:688062) CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-31 12:58Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and has multiple business development (BD) collaborations that are expected to drive future growth [8] - The company has a strong pipeline with clinical advancements in its CDH17 ADC and TCE platform, showcasing its R&D capabilities [8] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 9.03 billion, 14.31 billion, and 22.72 billion RMB respectively, with a path to profitability expected by 2027 [8] Financial Performance - For the third quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 465 million RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 1717.41% [8] - The total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 566 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 301.03% [8] - The company's drug sales revenue for the third quarter was 55.32 million RMB, up 120.85% year-on-year, and for the first three quarters, it was 156 million RMB, up 72.10% year-on-year [8] Business Development Collaborations - The company has secured three BD collaborations, including a partnership with Qilu Pharmaceutical for the Agrestin α product, which includes a 380 million RMB upfront payment [8] - Collaborations with Calico and Kalexo involve significant upfront payments and milestone payments, indicating strong commercial potential [8] Clinical Development - The company’s self-developed CDH17 ADC has received approval for clinical trial applications from both the National Medical Products Administration and the FDA [8] - The TCE platform has established a comprehensive antibody library, enhancing its capabilities for targeted cancer therapies [8] Earnings Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.03 billion, 14.31 billion, and 22.72 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits expected to be -648 million, -301 million, and 80 million RMB [7][8] - The company is expected to achieve an EPS of -1.62, -0.75, and 0.20 RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7]