HUAXI Securities·2025-10-31 13:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported strong growth in both new business value (NBV) and net profit for Q3 2025, with NBV increasing by 46.2% year-on-year to 35.724 billion yuan and net profit rising by 45.4% year-on-year [2][3] - The overall business performance is stable, with core operations showing high-quality development, particularly in the life insurance sector [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 832.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 132.856 billion yuan, up 11.5% year-on-year [2] - The operating profit for the same period was 116.264 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.2% year-on-year growth [2] - The company's net assets at the end of the period were 986.406 billion yuan, an increase of 6.2% from the beginning of the year [2] Life and Health Insurance - The NBV for life and health insurance business grew significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 46.2% to 35.724 billion yuan, and a quarterly increase of 58.3% [3] - The first-year premium income for the first three quarters increased by 2.3% year-on-year, while Q3 saw a 21.1% increase [3] - The agent channel contributed significantly to NBV, with a year-on-year increase of 23.3% [3] Property and Casualty Insurance - The company’s property and casualty insurance premium income rose by 7.1% year-on-year to 256.247 billion yuan [4] - The combined ratio improved by 0.8 percentage points year-on-year to 97.0%, although it increased from 95.2% in the first half of the year [4] Investment Performance - The company’s investment portfolio achieved a non-annualized net investment return of 2.8%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the overall investment return increased by 1.0 percentage points to 5.4% [5] - As of September 30, 2025, the investment portfolio size exceeded 6.41 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.9% from the beginning of the year [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to 1,054.039 billion yuan, up from a previous estimate of 1,035.9 billion yuan [6] - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been raised to 138.458 billion yuan, compared to the previous estimate of 127.3 billion yuan [6] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is now projected at 7.60 yuan, an increase from the previous estimate of 6.99 yuan [6]