上证补缺，市场持续活跃

Market Analysis - The A-share market remains active with a strong profit-making effect despite the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing a decline of 0.81% to 3954.79 points on October 31, 2025 [3] - The trading volume for the day was 2.35 trillion yuan, indicating robust market activity with 3759 stocks rising against 1548 stocks falling [3] Sector Performance - Notable gains were observed in sectors such as biomedicine, media, retail, social services, and textiles, driven by a new policy aimed at enhancing duty-free shopping to stimulate consumption [5] - Conversely, sectors that previously saw significant gains, such as telecommunications, electronics, and non-ferrous metals, experienced pullbacks [5] PMI Data Insights - The manufacturing PMI for October was reported at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, while the non-manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 50.1% [5][6] - Despite the decline in manufacturing PMI, key industries such as high-tech manufacturing and consumer goods remain in expansion territory, indicating underlying economic stability [5][6] Bond Market Trends - The 30-year government bond futures rose by 0.42%, reflecting a positive trend in the long-term bond market, while short-term bonds showed mixed performance [8] - The central bank's net injection of liquidity through reverse repos indicates a continued accommodative monetary policy, supporting the bond market [8] Commodity Market Overview - The commodity index saw a slight decline of 0.17%, with significant drops in lithium carbonate and other products, while precious metals like gold and silver showed price recoveries [8] - The adjustment in lithium carbonate prices is attributed to cautious purchasing behavior from downstream companies amid stable demand and declining inventories [8] Investment Strategy Recommendations - Continued focus on technology sectors and industries aligned with the 14th Five-Year Plan is advised, despite the recent PMI reading indicating a contraction in manufacturing [10][11] - The bond market is expected to remain supported by the central bank's actions, while precious metals are recommended for gradual accumulation as their investment value becomes more apparent [10][11]