ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-10-31 14:49Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with an upward adjustment [7] Core Insights - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 46.822 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.9%, with a return on equity (ROE) of 16%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The new business value (NBV) for life insurance increased by 76.6% year-on-year, indicating strong growth in the life insurance segment [1] - The comprehensive cost ratio (COR) for property insurance improved to 96.1%, a year-on-year optimization of 2.1 percentage points, reflecting effective cost management [1] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 46.822 billion yuan, a 28.9% increase year-on-year, with a single-quarter profit growth of 48.7% in Q3 2025 [1] - The ROE was reported at 16%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] Property Insurance - The insurance service revenue from property insurance reached 385.921 billion yuan, up 5.9% year-on-year, with underwriting profit soaring by 130.7% to 14.865 billion yuan [2] - The COR for property insurance was 96.1%, reflecting a significant year-on-year improvement of 2.1 percentage points, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures [2] Life Insurance - The life insurance segment saw a substantial increase in NBV, with a year-on-year growth of 76.6% [3] - New single premium income for life insurance was 54.756 billion yuan, a 23.8% increase year-on-year, with first-year premium income for long-term insurance rising by 33.8% [3] - The net profit for life insurance was reported at 13.974 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.3% year-on-year [3] Health Insurance - The new single premium income for health insurance reached 37.524 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with first-year premium income for long-term insurance growing by 62.8% [3] - The net profit for health insurance was 7.856 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41% [3] Investment Performance - As of the end of Q3 2025, the investment scale of insurance funds was 1.83 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.2% since the beginning of the year [4] - The total investment return rate was 5.4%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, with total investment income reaching 86.25 billion yuan, a 35.3% increase year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain strong performance in both underwriting and investment, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts and valuations [5] - Projected net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are 25.5%, 14.1%, and 22% respectively, with a target price set at 11.79 yuan per share [5]