Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-02 05:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China CNR Corporation (601766) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 183.87 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.49%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.96 billion yuan, up 37.53% year-on-year [4] - New orders exceeded expectations, with a total of 247.2 billion yuan in new contracts signed in the first three quarters, marking a 16.49% increase year-on-year [7] - The company’s new industries maintained high growth, with a revenue of 66.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.91% [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 265.21 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.6% [6] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 13.82 billion yuan, with an expected growth rate of 11.6% [6] - Earnings per share for 2025 is estimated at 0.48 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 16 [6] Revenue Breakdown - For the first three quarters, revenue from railway equipment was 87.72 billion yuan, up 22.23% year-on-year, while the urban rail segment saw a decline of 3.99% [7] - In Q3 alone, revenue from railway equipment was 28.01 billion yuan, down 5.94% year-on-year, with urban rail revenue dropping 17.93% [7] Margin and Cost Analysis - The gross margin for Q3 was 20.34%, a decrease of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in product mix [7] - The net profit margin for Q3 was 5.71%, down 0.62 percentage points year-on-year [7]