降息分歧显现，贵金属调整不改长期趋势

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The report indicates that the precious metals market is experiencing a decline in prices due to easing trade concerns and profit-taking activities, with gold and silver prices dropping by 3.89% and 3.62% respectively [2][28][30] - The base metals market shows mixed signals, with copper prices continuing to rise despite weak demand and high inventory levels, while aluminum prices have reached new highs due to stable supply and positive macroeconomic sentiment [1][21][22][32] Summary by Sections Base Metals & Precious Metals - Copper: Prices have continued to rise, with the current price at 87,130 CNY/ton, but demand remains weak, leading to cautious purchasing behavior from downstream enterprises [1][13] - Aluminum: Prices have increased to 21,415 CNY/ton, supported by stable supply and positive macroeconomic factors, with a notable increase in aluminum rod production [1][21][22] - Precious Metals: Gold and silver prices have decreased, attributed to reduced safe-haven demand following improved trade relations and market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [2][28][30] Minor Metals - Antimony: Prices are under pressure, but new export regulations may help restore demand [3][41] - Rare Earths: Prices are beginning to rise, driven by expectations of export recovery and stable demand [4][41] Market Predictions - The report anticipates that copper prices will face upward pressure in the short term, while aluminum prices are expected to remain high due to favorable macroeconomic conditions [1][14][21] - Precious metals are likely to continue experiencing price fluctuations, influenced by geopolitical developments and monetary policy announcements [2][29][30]