华达科技(603358):Q3新旧项目转换收入承压,新定点旺盛释放可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company is currently undergoing a transition phase between old and new vehicle models, which has led to revenue pressure. However, strong demand for new project approvals is expected to drive future growth [5][6] - The company reported a revenue of 3.614 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.14%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 393 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 96.51% [4][5] - The report anticipates that the company will achieve revenues of 6.861 billion yuan, 8.306 billion yuan, and 9.822 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 21%, and 18% [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 746 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 37.65% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 60.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 194 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 440% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27% [4][5] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 13.23%, down 3.57 percentage points year-on-year, while the Q3 gross margin was 5.85%, down 9.14 percentage points year-on-year and 10.19 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] Project Developments - The company has secured new project approvals from multiple clients, including 16 body component projects with a total expected sales amount of 2.6 billion yuan, set to begin production in Q4 2025 [7] - The company is transitioning from traditional stamping to new energy components, with significant project approvals in the aluminum die-casting sector, expected to contribute to revenue growth in the coming years [6][7] Profitability Forecast - The report projects that the company will achieve net profits of 473 million yuan, 616 million yuan, and 774 million yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 110%, 30%, and 26% [7]