Changjiang Securities·2025-11-02 09:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Insights - The company is firmly advancing its "Connection + Computing Power" transformation strategy, with a stable foundation in connection business and a significant increase in computing power business, which has driven revenue growth of 180% year-on-year, accounting for approximately 25% of total revenue [5][12] - The company has shown effective cost control, with an increase in the proportion of government and enterprise business, although there are structural fluctuations in gross margin and a phase adjustment in profitability [12] - Strong R&D investment continues to enhance the company's full-stack intelligent computing capabilities [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 100.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.32 billion yuan, a decrease of 32.7% year-on-year [5] - In Q3 alone, the company reported operating revenue of 28.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 24.9%, with a net profit of 260 million yuan, down 87.8% year-on-year and 89.8% quarter-on-quarter [5] Business Segments - The computing power business has seen a year-on-year revenue increase of 180%, becoming a core growth driver, with server and storage revenue growing by 250% and data center products by 120% [12] - The government and enterprise business has continued to expand rapidly, with a year-on-year increase of 130% [12] Cost Management - The gross margin for Q3 was 25.9%, down 14.5 percentage points year-on-year and 5.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the rapid growth of lower-margin government and enterprise business [12] - The company has effectively managed expenses, with an expense ratio of 9.7% for the first three quarters, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [12] R&D Investment - The company has maintained high R&D investment, with R&D expenses of 17.81 billion yuan for the first three quarters, accounting for approximately 18% of revenue [12] - The company has made significant advancements in AI infrastructure and core technology breakthroughs, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [12] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 8.578 billion yuan, 9.396 billion yuan, and 10.556 billion yuan, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 2.0%, 9.5%, and 12.3% respectively [12]