东华能源(002221):全球丙烷供给趋于宽松,PDH景气度有望改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Views - The report indicates that the global propane supply is becoming more relaxed, which is expected to improve the profitability of the Propane Dehydrogenation (PDH) sector [7][10]. - The company reported a revenue of 23.307 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.79%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 75 million yuan, down 42.64% year-on-year [2][7]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.024 billion yuan, a decline of 24.95% year-on-year and 15.41% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 9 million yuan, down 57.57% year-on-year and 35.38% quarter-on-quarter [2][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported: - Revenue: 23.307 billion yuan, down 1.79% year-on-year - Net profit: 75 million yuan, down 42.64% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit: 51 million yuan, down 39.12% year-on-year - In Q3 2025: - Revenue: 7.024 billion yuan, down 24.95% year-on-year and 15.41% quarter-on-quarter - Net profit: 9 million yuan, down 57.57% year-on-year and 35.38% quarter-on-quarter - Non-recurring net profit: 17 million yuan, down 51.06% year-on-year but up 392.12% quarter-on-quarter [2][7][10]. Industry Insights - The report highlights that the PDH sector is showing signs of improvement, with domestic prices for propane, propylene, and polypropylene in Q3 2025 being 573 USD/ton, 6463 yuan/ton, and 7370 yuan/ton respectively, with varying changes [10]. - The company has significant PDH and polypropylene production capacity, ranking among the top in China, with ongoing projects in various locations [10]. - The company is focusing on developing a carbon fiber and hydrogen energy industry chain, leveraging its existing resources and partnerships for innovation and cost reduction [10].