通润装备（002150）：多因素拖累Q3业绩，合同负债新高验证经营趋势

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.59 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.14%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 137 million yuan, up 27.26% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the revenue was 882 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.79%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.14%. The net profit for Q3 was 39 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.64% but a significant quarter-on-quarter decline of 50.12% [2][4][10]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, with a net profit of 137 million yuan. In Q3 alone, the revenue was 882 million yuan, and the net profit was 39 million yuan [2][4]. - The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 28.3%, which is a decrease of 4.5 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [10]. - The company experienced a significant increase in contract liabilities, reaching 230 million yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 98% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 178%, indicating a positive operational trend [10]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a performance rebound in Q4, driven by the traditional peak season and the recognition of deferred revenue from Q3. This is anticipated to lead to significant improvements in revenue and gross margin for Q4 [10]. - Projections for 2025 and 2026 indicate expected profits of 280 million yuan and 390 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 24 and 17 times [10].