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推动西部地区算力设施布局,前三季度可再生能源装机yoy+47.7%
Guotou Securities·2025-11-02 11:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the significant growth in renewable energy installations, with a year-on-year increase of 47.7% in the first three quarters of 2025, accounting for approximately 84.4% of new installations [3][45] - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the clustering of computing power facilities in regions rich in green electricity, emphasizing energy efficiency and resource conservation [3][44] - The report suggests a positive outlook for various sectors within the public utilities and environmental protection industries, driven by favorable policies and market conditions [12][48] Summary by Sections Market Information Tracking - In November 2025, the average transaction price for electricity in Jiangsu was 355.95 RMB/MWh, down 8.96% from the benchmark price, while in Guangdong, the price was 372 RMB/MWh, down 4.86% [30][31] - The average price of thermal coal in the Bohai Rim region was reported at 685 RMB/ton, reflecting a slight increase [32] - The price of natural gas futures in the Netherlands was 32 EUR/TWh, showing a decrease of 1.84% [34] Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration reported that the total installed capacity of renewable energy reached 2.198 billion kW by the end of September 2025, with significant contributions from hydropower, wind, and solar energy [3][45] - The report discusses the government's goal to establish 100 national-level zero-carbon parks by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on carbon emission control and the promotion of clean energy [48][49] Investment Portfolio and Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong coal price elasticity in the thermal power sector, such as Huaneng International and Huadian International [12] - In the renewable energy sector, it suggests monitoring companies involved in independent energy storage and virtual power plants, highlighting the growth potential in these areas [12] - The report also emphasizes the importance of companies engaged in clean energy non-electric utilization, particularly those with a first-mover advantage in hydrogen and ammonia production [13]