10月PMI有所下滑，A股指数冲高回落：2025.10.27-2025.10.31日策略周报-20251102

Core Insights - The A-share market is currently in a "slow bull" phase, influenced by the new "National Nine Articles" policy and a similar investment trend to the "Four Trillion" stimulus, suggesting a continued upward trajectory [7][28] - The recent easing of US-China trade tensions is expected to support the market, with a forecast of wide fluctuations and gradual increases in November [2][14] Market Performance - During the week of October 27 to October 31, 2025, the A-share indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.11% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.67%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 0.43% [10][11] - The highest weekly volatility was observed in the ChiNext Index, which had a fluctuation of 4.80% [10] Sector Performance - Among the 31 first-level industries, the top performers were Electric Equipment and Nonferrous Metals, with weekly gains of 4.29% and 2.56% respectively [20] - In the second-level industries, Steel Raw Materials and Photovoltaic Equipment led with weekly increases of 10.84% and 8.65% [22] - The cumulative gains for 2025 show Components and Communication Equipment leading with increases of 100.18% and 93.90% respectively [22] Macro Data - The October PMI decreased to 49% from 49.80% in September, attributed to pre-holiday demand release and fluctuations in US-China trade affecting manufacturing activities [6][26] Investment Recommendations - Focus areas include artificial intelligence in the technology sector, traditional manufacturing related to anti-involution, and aerospace sectors benefiting from the "14th Five-Year Plan" [28]