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通信行业2025年11月投资策略暨25Q3财报总结:美持续加大AI投入,算力基础设施高景气度延续
Guoxin Securities·2025-11-02 12:10

Group 1: Market Overview - In October, the communication sector experienced a decline of 0.45%, aligning closely with the overall market performance, ranking 20th among 31 primary industries [12][17] - The communication industry’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio was 23.2, indicating a recovery from historical lows, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio was 2.4, reflecting a return to historical median levels [17][22] Group 2: Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q3 2025, the market value of funds heavily invested in the communication sector reached 288.6 billion yuan, accounting for 7.14% of total fund holdings, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.2 percentage points [30][34] - The concentration of fund holdings in the top ten communication stocks increased, with these stocks representing 99% of the total market value in the communication sector [34][40] Group 3: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the communication industry (excluding operators) saw a revenue growth of 19.57% and a net profit growth of 33.69% [2][42] - For Q3 2025 alone, non-operator communication companies reported total revenues of 185.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.47%, and net profits of 16.7 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 47.4% [2][42] Group 4: Subsector Performance - The growth rates for revenue in the first three quarters of 2025 were led by the optical module, optical device/chip, and liquid cooling sectors, with growth rates of 63.5%, 37.1%, and 36.4% respectively [44] - Notably, the optical module sector achieved a profit growth rate of 125.7%, while AIDC and optical devices/chips also showed significant profit increases of 117.7% and 93.9% respectively [44] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Continuous attention is recommended for the development of AI computing infrastructure, particularly in sectors such as optical devices, communication equipment, and liquid cooling [4] - The three major operators remain important assets for dividend configuration, with stable operations and increasing dividend payouts [4]