Guohai Securities·2025-11-02 13:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Views - The chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery in demand, driven by government policies aimed at stabilizing growth and transforming the industry [4][5] - The demand for chromium salts is anticipated to rise significantly due to increased orders for gas turbines and commercial aircraft engines in Europe and the US, leading to a projected supply gap by 2028 [8] - The report highlights the potential for high dividend yields and improved cash flow for leading companies in the chemical sector as capacity expansion slows down globally [4] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The basic chemical sector has shown a performance increase of 23.0% over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2] Government Initiatives - A joint announcement from seven government departments outlines a plan for stable growth in the petrochemical industry, targeting an average annual growth of over 5% in value-added output from 2025 to 2026 [5] Market Dynamics - The price of chromium salts is on the rise, with significant increases noted in the prices of chromium metal and chromium oxide in October 2025 [8][18] - The report indicates that the chemical industry is transitioning from a "cash-consuming" phase to a "cash-generating" phase, with a focus on high-quality development and innovation [4][5] Investment Opportunities - Key investment opportunities identified include low-cost expansion in leading companies, improving market conditions for chromium salts, and high dividend yields from state-owned enterprises [9][10][11]