Huachuang Securities·2025-11-03 03:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) with a target price of 36.24 CNY [2][10]. Core Insights - CNOOC's Q3 2025 revenue reached 1048.95 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 5.68% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.11%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.10% year-on-year to 324.38 billion CNY [2][9]. - The company has optimized costs, with the main cost per barrel at 27.35 USD, a reduction of 0.79 USD compared to the same period in 2024, enhancing its competitive edge [9][10]. - Significant exploration achievements were noted, with four oil and gas structures evaluated and multiple projects launched, including the Guyana Yellowtail project, which is expected to contribute to production growth [9][10]. - The report forecasts CNOOC's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 1382, 1436, and 1469 billion CNY, respectively, with a consistent PE ratio of 9 [9][10]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the total revenue is projected to be 431,353 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.6% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 138,166 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a minimal growth rate of 0.2% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 2.91 CNY for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9 [4][10]. Market Performance - CNOOC's stock has shown a performance of -13% over the past year, compared to the CSI 300 index [7]. Company Overview - CNOOC has a total market capitalization of approximately 1,288.54 billion CNY, with a circulating market value of 81.06 billion CNY [5]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 30.09% and a net asset value per share of 16.53 CNY [5]. Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the potential for increased shareholder returns, with a commitment to a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% for 2025-2027, an increase of 5 percentage points from previous years [9][10].