Allist(SH:688578) China Post Securities·2025-11-03 04:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the benchmark index within the next six months [2][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.73 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 47.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.62 billion yuan, up 52.0% year-on-year, with a stable performance in Q3 [5][6]. - The company's product, Vomeletin, shows a steady increase in market share due to its "high efficiency and low toxicity" advantages, with a gross margin of 96.8% for the first three quarters of 2025 [6][8]. - The NDA for Vomeletin for the treatment of NSCLC has been accepted for priority review, with competitive efficacy and safety data compared to other treatments in the market [7][8]. Financial Performance - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.82 billion yuan, a 35.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.99 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 38.8% [8][10]. - The gross margin is expected to remain high, with estimates of 96.3% for 2025 and 96.4% for 2026 and 2027 [10][13]. - The company’s debt-to-asset ratio is low at 10.7%, indicating strong financial stability [4][13]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 4.41 yuan in 2025, increasing to 6.23 yuan by 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 23.89 and 16.92 respectively [10][13]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with revenue forecasts of 5.87 billion yuan in 2026 and 7.07 billion yuan in 2027, maintaining a strong growth rate [10][11].