Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price raised to 90 RMB, reflecting strong growth momentum driven by AI [1][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance shows significant growth, with revenue reaching 7.9 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12%. The gross margin improved to 28.1%, up from 22.9% a year ago and 26.9% in the previous quarter. Net profit surged by 131% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter to 1 billion RMB, resulting in a net profit margin of 12.8% [1][8]. - The report forecasts revenue growth of 41% and 38% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with net profit expected to grow by 102% and 79% in the same periods [1][8]. Financial Summary - Sales Revenue (Million RMB): - FY23A: 16,586 - FY24A: 20,388 - FY25E: 28,775 - FY26E: 39,631 - FY27E: 50,221 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): - FY24A: 22.9% - FY25E: 41.1% - FY26E: 37.7% - FY27E: 26.7% [2] - Gross Margin (%): - FY23A: 19.2% - FY24A: 22.0% - FY25E: 27.3% - FY26E: 30.5% - FY27E: 32.3% [2] - Net Profit (Million RMB): - FY23A: 1,164 - FY24A: 1,738.7 - FY25E: 3,508.5 - FY26E: 6,272.3 - FY27E: 8,786.4 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): - FY24A: 49.4% - FY25E: 101.8% - FY26E: 78.8% - FY27E: 40.1% [2] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is positioned as a core supplier in the AI infrastructure sector, benefiting from strong demand for AI servers. Its subsidiary, Shengyi Electronics, reported a record quarterly revenue of 3.1 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 154% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 40% [1][8]. - The copper-clad laminate business achieved revenue of 4.9 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 23%. Despite facing cost pressures from rising copper prices, the company expects price adjustments to mitigate most of the cost inflation [1][8]. Valuation Metrics - The target price of 90 RMB represents a potential upside of 40% from the current price of 64.30 RMB [3]. - The report adjusts the earnings forecast upwards to reflect the company's strong growth and improving profit margins, with a projected P/E ratio of 35 times for 2026 [1][8].
生益科技(600183):三季度业绩表明AI周期全面启动,目标价上调至90元人民币