高频数据跟踪:生产走势分化,物价稳中有升
China Post Securities·2025-11-03 07:35
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - High - frequency economic data focuses on: production end is differentiated with some开工率 decreasing and some increasing; commercial housing transactions decline marginally while land supply area rises continuously; prices are stable with an upward trend; shipping prices at home and abroad show opposite trends. Short - term attention should be paid to anti - involution, incremental policy implementation, and the recovery of the real estate market [2][30]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Production - Steel: Coke oven capacity utilization decreased by 0.42 pct, blast furnace operating rate decreased by 2.96 pct, and rebar output increased by 5.52 tons [2][9]. - Petroleum asphalt: Operating rate increased by 0.4 pct [9]. - Chemical industry: PX operating rate increased by 1.6 pct, PTA operating rate increased by 2.4 pct [9]. - Automobile tires: Full - steel tire operating rate decreased by 0.24 pct, semi - steel tire operating rate decreased by 0.26 pct [10]. Demand - Real estate: Commercial housing transaction area declined marginally, inventory - to - sales ratio decreased, land supply area increased continuously, and residential land transaction premium rate increased [13]. - Movie box office: Decreased by 0.53 billion yuan compared with the previous week [13]. - Automobile: Daily average retail sales of manufacturers increased by 0.6 million vehicles, and daily average wholesale sales increased by 1.5 million vehicles [15]. - Shipping index: SCFI increased by 10.49%, CCFI increased by 2.89%, BDI decreased by 1.26% [18]. Prices - Energy: Brent crude oil price decreased by 1.32% to $65.07 per barrel, coking coal futures price increased by 3.52% to 1295.5 yuan per ton [20]. - Metals: LME copper, aluminum, and zinc futures prices changed by - 0.51%, + 1.1%, and + 1.01% respectively, and domestic rebar futures price increased by 1.83% [21]. - Agricultural products: The overall price rose rapidly, with the wholesale price index of agricultural products 200 increasing by 2.23%. Pork, egg, vegetable, and fruit prices changed by + 0.39%, - 0.14%, + 5.96%, and + 0.28% respectively compared with the previous week [23]. Logistics - Subway passenger volume: Beijing decreased slightly, Shanghai increased slightly [26]. - Flight volume: Both domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) and international flight volumes decreased [28]. - Urban traffic: The peak congestion index in first - tier cities continued to decline [28].