Workflow
配置低位+业绩共振,应用投资布局时
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-11-03 07:34

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [2][56]. Core Insights - The computer sector is currently in a low allocation state, with a heavy stock allocation ratio of only 2.76%, significantly lower than the 8.6% peak in 2023, indicating substantial room for recovery [7][10]. - The performance of the computer sector has improved significantly in Q3 2025, with notable revenue and profit growth in the domestic AI application and innovation sectors, suggesting a turning point in the industry [7][22]. - The domestic AI application market is on the verge of a large-scale commercial explosion, with leading companies showing impressive revenue and profit growth in Q3 2025, reinforcing the certainty of their performance [7][43]. Summary by Sections 1. Low Allocation: The Value of Computer Sector Configuration is Highlighted - The computer sector's heavy stock allocation ratio is at 2.76%, remaining in the 2%-3% range since Q2 2024, with significant recovery potential compared to 8.6% in Q1 2023 [10]. - The sector's ranking has dropped to 11th among TMT sectors, indicating a low allocation compared to others [10]. - The software segment's allocation has decreased, contrasting with increases in the electronics and communications sectors [10][16]. 2. Performance Resonance: Q3 2025 Performance of Innovation and Application Sectors is Impressive - The innovation sector's revenue and profit have shown strong recovery, with notable performances from companies like Zhongke Shuguang and Damo Data [22]. - The average gross margin for the innovation sector is approximately 44.47%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.91 percentage points [22]. - The SaaS and enterprise service sectors have also seen significant revenue growth, with companies like Foxit Software and Hehe Information leading the way [33]. 3. Focus on AI Applications: Domestic Companies' Performance Reinforces Certainty - The trend of AI application commercialization is becoming clearer, with domestic companies showing significant revenue and profit growth in Q3 2025 [43]. - Hehe Information reported revenue of 460 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.49%, and a net profit of 116 million yuan, up 34.93% [43][44]. - Kingsoft Office achieved revenue of 1.521 billion yuan, a 25.33% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 431 million yuan, up 35.42% [44][46]. - Foxit Software's revenue reached 254 million yuan, a 47.80% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 6.2848 million yuan, up 126.36% [46][51]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the application layer, particularly in companies with strong data barriers, customer resources, and technological investments, such as Tuolisi, Hehe Information, Tonghuashun, and Kingsoft Office [52].