Jade Bird Fire(SZ:002960) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-11-03 08:52Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on its Q3 performance, with a revenue decline of 4.6% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, totaling 3.359 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 29% to 238 million yuan [5] - The company is transitioning towards becoming a "fire safety technology ecosystem operator," which is expected to enhance its long-term growth prospects despite current challenges [5][7] - The report anticipates a recovery in net profit from 359 million yuan in 2025 to 648 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS increasing from 0.41 yuan to 0.74 yuan [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.21 billion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 80 million yuan, down 45.7% year-on-year, primarily due to intensified price competition in the domestic market [5] - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be 4.748 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 3.5%, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [8] Business Structure and Strategy - The company is optimizing its business structure, focusing on high-growth and high-margin industrial and overseas markets. Domestic industrial fire safety revenue increased by 4.58% to 558 million yuan, driven by significant orders in energy storage fire safety [6] - Overseas fire safety revenue reached 597 million yuan, up 13.33%, with a gross margin increase of 5.81 percentage points to 50.25% [6] Innovation and Future Outlook - The company is accelerating its exploration in advanced fields, including the development of fire safety robots and remote monitoring services, which are expected to enhance its service network and product sales [7] - The strategic investment in intelligent robotics and the establishment of a joint venture for research and development are part of the company's efforts to optimize its cost structure and expand its market presence [7]