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日本策略JapanStrategy海上观日

Market Observation - Japan's stock market reached new record highs, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 6.31% to close at 55,411.34 and the TOPIX index gaining 1.91% to finish at 3,331.83, driven by easing China-US trade tensions and the signing of a Joint Fact Sheet for Japan-US Investment [3][21]. - Major Japanese corporations have revised their earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 2026 upwards, with AI demand driving growth in power and semiconductor-related companies [3][21]. - The Nikkei index surged from the 40,000 range to the 50,000 range in October, marking a monthly gain of 16.6%, the largest in 30 years [3][21]. Company Performance - A company named Aiwande (6857 JP) reported significantly better-than-expected half-year results and raised its full-year guidance, leading to a 35% increase in its stock price within a week. The company expects a 71% year-on-year increase in net profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026, reaching 275 billion yen, exceeding previous guidance of 221.5 billion yen [5]. - Hitachi (5601 JP) reported a 5% year-on-year increase in sales revenue to 4.7874 trillion yen and a 62% increase in net profit to 472.8 billion yen for the period from April to September. The company raised its net profit forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026 by 40 billion yen to 750 billion yen [6]. - Murata Manufacturing saw a significant increase in demand for its core product, MLCC, in the AI data center sector, leading to an upward revision of its global smartphone demand forecast by 4 million units to 1.21 billion units for the fiscal year ending March 2026 [7]. Sector Performance - The technology sector, particularly companies involved in AI and semiconductors, has shown strong performance, with the information technology sector gaining 8.7% weekly and 51.5% year-to-date [17]. - The industrials sector also performed well, with a weekly change of 2.4% and a year-to-date increase of 37.1% [17]. - The financial sector experienced a weekly increase of 2.2% and a year-to-date increase of 20.1%, indicating a positive trend in financial performance [17]. Economic Indicators - The consumer price index (CPI) for Tokyo showed a year-on-year increase of 2.8%, exceeding market expectations, which may support the Bank of Japan's future rate hike considerations [4]. - Retail sales data for September unexpectedly grew by 0.5% year-on-year, reversing a previous decline, while the unemployment rate remained stable at 2.6% [4].