KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-11-03 09:12Core Insights - The domestic wind power installation is expected to reach new heights during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with annual new installations projected to be no less than 120GW, including at least 15GW from offshore wind [3][24]. - The land-based wind power market is showing signs of recovery from price competition, with the average bid price for land-based wind turbines increasing by 13% in the first eight months of 2025 compared to the average price in 2024 [4][34]. - There is a significant growth potential in offshore wind power, with abundant project reserves and a strong push from government policies to accelerate installation [4][36]. Group 1: Domestic Wind Power Market - The domestic wind power market is expected to see a substantial increase in new installations, with a total of 86.99GW projected for 2024, marking a 9.6% year-on-year increase [3][24]. - The cumulative new installations from 2021 to 2024 are expected to reach 272.1GW, significantly higher than the 145.5GW during the "13th Five-Year Plan" [3][24]. - The average utilization hours for wind power in 2024 are projected to be 2,127 hours, significantly higher than the 1,211 hours for solar power, indicating a better match with load demand [12][18]. Group 2: Offshore Wind Power Development - The offshore wind power sector is anticipated to maintain high installation levels, with a target of at least 15GW of new installations annually during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4][36]. - The actual installation of offshore wind power during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period has fallen short of planned targets, indicating a significant gap and potential for future growth [36][37]. - The recent approval of over 19.9GW of offshore wind projects in Europe in 2024 highlights the growing demand and potential for offshore wind power [76][78]. Group 3: International Expansion of Domestic Wind Power Companies - Domestic wind turbine manufacturers are accelerating their international expansion, with a total of 19.28GW of overseas orders secured by seven manufacturers in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 187.8% year-on-year increase [5][66]. - Companies like Goldwind and Mingyang Smart Energy are establishing manufacturing bases overseas, enhancing their competitiveness in international markets [72][73]. - The average price of domestic wind turbines in overseas markets is still lower than that of Western manufacturers, providing a competitive edge for Chinese companies [57][66].