保险行业点评:预定利率切换后寿险阶段性放缓,非车险企稳回升
Minsheng Securities·2025-11-03 10:40

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the insurance industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance in the coming months [6]. Core Insights - The insurance industry experienced a premium income of CNY 521.46 billion from January to September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.8%. However, the premium income in September alone was CNY 41.48 billion, showing a slight decline of 0.3% year-on-year [2]. - Life insurance premiums reached CNY 317.08 billion from January to September 2025, up 12.7% year-on-year, while September's premium income was CNY 19.62 billion, down 4.6% year-on-year. The decline in September was anticipated due to the scheduled switch in the predetermined interest rate [3]. - Health insurance premiums showed a modest increase of 0.2% year-on-year, totaling CNY 64.22 billion from January to September 2025. The September premium income was CNY 6.38 billion, down 2.1% year-on-year, attributed to fluctuations in high-cost medical treatments and policy adjustments [4]. - The auto insurance sector demonstrated steady growth, with premiums reaching CNY 683.6 billion, a 4.4% increase year-on-year, while non-auto insurance premiums were CNY 687.6 billion, up 5.4% year-on-year. The growth in auto insurance is supported by rising vehicle sales, particularly in the passenger and new energy vehicle segments [5]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The life insurance sector is expected to focus on dividend insurance, which remains attractive compared to traditional savings products. The long-term growth logic for dividend insurance is still intact despite recent fluctuations [7]. - The report highlights a recovery in new contributions to policyholder investment funds, with a significant year-on-year increase of 29.1% in September 2025, indicating a renewed interest from policyholders [4][7]. Health Insurance - The health insurance segment is undergoing a transformation, with traditional medical insurance facing adjustments while high-end medical insurance is still in the cultivation phase. Long-term factors such as aging population and health consumption upgrades are expected to support growth in this sector [4][7]. Property Insurance - The property insurance sector is anticipated to maintain stable growth, with leading companies focusing on refined pricing and claims management to enhance profitability. The overall premium income for property insurance is expected to grow steadily [7].