KSHG(SH:605333) Guoxin Securities·2025-11-03 12:01Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][42]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.5%. For the first three quarters of 2025, the total revenue reached 5.838 billion yuan, an increase of 5.54% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 425 million yuan, a decrease of 3.10% year-on-year [1][8]. - The company is actively expanding into new product categories such as robot harnesses and drone harnesses, which are expected to drive future growth [2][30]. - The company has seen a decline in gross margin, which was 15.4% in Q3 2025, down 4.9 percentage points year-on-year and 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][17]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net profit of 148 million yuan, down 19.10% year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1][8]. - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 15.6%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.3%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [17][2]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 9.1 billion, 11.5 billion, and 13.3 billion yuan respectively, with net profit estimates revised to 710 million, 920 million, and 1.13 billion yuan [3][42]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is a leading player in the automotive wiring harness sector, focusing on high and low voltage harness products, and is expanding its capacity for high voltage harnesses [2][30]. - The company has diversified its customer base, with the top five customers' revenue share decreasing from 99% in 2015 to 80.22% in 2024, indicating a broader market reach [2][32]. - The company is enhancing its technological capabilities and expanding into new markets, including drone and robotics sectors, to capture emerging opportunities [38][40].