港股、海外周观察：利好落地后，还有什么？

Group 1 - The report indicates that the Hong Kong stock market is still in a trend of oscillating upward, with short-term fluctuations expected to dominate and the upward slope potentially slowing down [1][2] - The report highlights that the recent positive news has led to a decrease in short-term aggressive capital investment intentions, as the market has already priced in factors such as US-China tariffs and the 14th Five-Year Plan [1][2] - The technology sector in Hong Kong is currently influenced by the performance of US tech stocks, which may limit short-term upward momentum, although AI technology remains a key focus for the medium to long term [1][2][3] Group 2 - The report notes that the US stock market saw significant gains, with the Nasdaq rising by 2.2%, the Dow Jones by 0.8%, and the S&P 500 by 0.7%, driven by a combination of interest rate cuts, easing US-China tensions, and better-than-expected earnings reports [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4.00% and to halt balance sheet reduction is seen as a hawkish stance, which may lead to further rate cuts in December [1][3] - The report emphasizes that the macroeconomic environment will be a crucial catalyst for the US stock market moving forward, as the government shutdown continues to impact data availability and market pricing of macroeconomic factors [3][5] Group 3 - The report highlights that approximately 70% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 64% exceeding expectations, which is above the historical average of 49% [2][3] - The technology sector has shown significant volatility, with companies like Google and Amazon experiencing accelerated growth in the third quarter, indicating a strong narrative around AI investment [2][3] - The report suggests that the overall economic resilience in the US, as indicated by steady consumer spending and upward revisions to GDP growth, supports a positive outlook for the stock market [3][5] Group 4 - The report indicates that the Hong Kong stock market experienced declines, with the Hang Seng Technology Index down by 2.5% and the Hang Seng Index down by 1% during the week [4][11] - It notes that the overall performance of developed and emerging markets was positive, with emerging markets leading with a 0.9% increase [4][11] - The report also mentions that the global stock ETF saw a net inflow of $51.31 billion, with the US stock ETF receiving the most significant inflow of $31.86 billion [6][30]