三季报出炉，几家欢喜几家愁

1. Market Performance - The CSI REITs Total Return Index closed at 1045.73 points this week (October 27 - 31, 2025), up 0.06% weekly, continuing last week's stabilization trend. The market fluctuated during the week, with a 0.44% drop on Monday, a cumulative 1.1% increase on Tuesday and Wednesday driven by the central bank's restart of treasury bond trading information, and a cumulative 0.59% retracement on Thursday and Friday after the concentrated disclosure of the third - quarter reports. From a monthly perspective, the total return index has declined for four consecutive months, and the market remains weak [1][9]. - This week, 49 REITs closed higher and 27 closed lower, and the trading activity of REITs increased. As of Friday, the total market value of 76 listed REITs in China reached 220.6 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 110.4 billion yuan [2][9]. - In terms of major asset classes, although the overall performance of REITs was average this week, four types of REITs, including consumer facilities, rental housing, municipal environmental protection, and new - type facilities, showed obvious recovery and outperformed the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000. The Hang Seng Tech and SHFE Gold declined by more than 2.5% [12]. 2. Sector - by - Sector Analysis 2.1 Municipal Environmental Protection - The sector exceeded expectations, with better recovery in charging prices or processing volumes. As the heating season approaches, heating - related projects are worth attention. For example, the available distribution amount of the Fuguo Shouchuang Water Service REIT in the third quarter increased by 30.12% year - on - year, mainly due to better accounts receivable collection in the Shenzhen project than in the same period last year, an increase in sewage treatment volume by 1.23% year - on - year, and an increase in the average sewage treatment unit price by 7.05% year - on - year [16][20]. - The available distribution amount of the China Aviation Capital Shougang Green Energy REIT in the third quarter increased by 97.4% year - on - year, mainly due to the collection of garbage treatment fees by the Beijing Urban Management Commission, an increase in national subsidy payments compared with the same period last year, and an increase in the amount of domestic garbage treatment [21]. 2.2 Data Centers - The sector is strong under the AIDC intelligent computing power boom, and the computing power demand is expected to remain strong in the future. There are currently only 2 REITs in this sector. Although the projects have a single tenant and a long - term lease, the tenants are China's three major telecommunications operators, with high reliability. At current prices, the distribution rates of the two REITs are below 4%, and Runze Technology is slightly higher than Wan Guo [3][24]. 2.3 Consumer Facilities - The sector enters the performance sprint period at the end of the year. The performance in the third quarter was generally stable, and the annualized distribution rate in the third quarter ranged from 3.59% (Huaxia Huarun Commercial) to 5.53% (E Fund Huawai Market). It is recommended to focus on projects with high distribution rates, stable rental performance, and good consumption scenarios, such as E Fund Huawai Market, Huaan Bailian Consumption, Jashi Wumei Consumption, and Huaxia Shouchuang Outlets [26]. 2.4 Rental Housing - The sector's performance is stable, with a high occupancy rate. Multiple projects are in the process of expansion. The annualized distribution rate in the third quarter ranged from 2.69% (Red Clay Innovation Shenzhen Affordable Housing) to 4.02% (Huitianfu Shanghai Real Estate Rental Housing). After the bond market stabilizes, it can be the first choice for investment [32]. 2.5 Industrial Parks - The sector continued to face pressure in the third quarter, with the distribution rate ranging from 1.90% (Jianxin Zhongguancun) to 5.73% (Huaxia Hefei High - tech). The projects are significantly differentiated, and it is recommended to focus on park bonds with an occupancy rate starting with "9" [36]. 2.6 Warehousing and Logistics - The sector is still affected by the impact of new supply. Projects with a large proportion of related - party leases can resist certain demand competition. It is recommended to focus on Red Clay Innovation Yantian Port, Jashi JD Warehouse Infrastructure, and Southern SF Logistics, which have a relatively high proportion of related - party leases [47]. 2.7 Transportation Facilities - The sector is significantly affected by surrounding competing projects. The passenger and freight traffic of road assets in the eastern region has recovered better overall. It is recommended to focus on road assets in the eastern region [16][50]. 2.8 Energy - The sector's performance is generally under pressure due to factors such as wind, light, and water resources, as well as market - based trading and other pressures. Some projects have carried out factoring to ensure current dividends [16]. 3. Other Important News - This week, the REITs with relatively large increases were Cinda Principal Agricultural ( + 4.22%), Southern Wan Guo Data Center ( + 4.09%), and CICC Yinli Consumption ( + 3.85%); the REITs with relatively large decreases were Huaxia Hefei High - tech ( - 7.78%), China Merchants Science and Technology Innovation ( - 4.74%), and E Fund Guangzhou Development Industrial Park ( - 4.19%) [59]. - The trading activity of REITs increased this week, with the average daily trading volume of 618 million yuan, the average daily trading volume of 149 million shares, and the average daily turnover rate of 0.61%, with a month - on - month change of + 13.68%, + 18.74%, and + 0.09 percentage points respectively [63]. - There are 5 projects to be unlocked in November 2025, including CICC Liandong Science and Technology Innovation (2025/11/5, 39.09%), Yin Hua Shaoxing Raw Water and Water Conservancy (2025/11/8, 18.06%), Huatai Jiangsu Expressway Control (2025/11/15, 55%), China Merchants Expressway (2025/11/21, 55.78%), and CICC Anhui Expressway Control (2025/11/22, 37.29%). Attention should be paid to the potential trading pressure brought by the recent unlocking projects [2][65]. - As of October 31, 2025, there are about 4 - 5 potential REIT issuance projects remaining this year, including 1 project that has been issued but not yet listed, 1 project that is currently being issued, 7 projects that have received feedback from the exchange, 1 project that has been accepted by the exchange, and 1 project that has been declared to the exchange [70].