渤海证券研究所晨会纪要(2025.11.04)-20251104
BOHAI SECURITIES·2025-11-04 02:37

Group 1: Macro and Strategy Research - In Q3 2025, the overall A-share market saw improvements in both revenue and net profit, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.9% and 11.5% respectively, benefiting from "anti-involution" and resilient exports [2][3] - All sectors experienced improved revenue and net profit growth rates, with the ChiNext and STAR Market performing relatively better [2] - The mid-cap stocks represented by the CSI 500 index turned positive in revenue growth year-on-year, with significant improvements in net profit growth [2] Group 2: Company Research - Oppein Home (603833) - Oppein Home reported Q3 2025 revenue of 13.214 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.79%, and a net profit of 1.832 billion yuan, down 9.77% [5] - The company improved its gross margin by 1.65 percentage points to 37.19% through cost control and the implementation of AI technology across its value chain [6][8] - The direct sales channel maintained steady growth, with overseas business showing significant progress, including a 40% year-on-year increase in overseas project orders [8] Group 3: Company Research - Orijin (002701) - Orijin reported Q3 2025 revenue of 18.346 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68.97%, and a net profit of 1.076 billion yuan, up 41.40% [11] - The company achieved a gross margin of 13.52% and a net margin of 6.02%, with effective cost control reflected in a decrease in the expense ratio [13] - The integration of COFCO Packaging has strengthened Orijin's market position, with ongoing investments in overseas production lines in Thailand and Kazakhstan [13] Group 4: Company Research - Semir Apparel (002563) - Semir Apparel reported Q3 2025 revenue of 9.844 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.74%, but a net profit decline of 28.90% [17] - The company maintained a gross margin of 45.12% and a net margin of 5.38%, with increased sales expenses impacting profitability [18] - The expansion of retail channels and stable growth in children's clothing contributed to revenue stability, with a focus on enhancing consumer experience [18] Group 5: Industry Research - Home Goods - The home goods industry showed signs of stabilization, with a 21.30% year-on-year increase in retail sales for furniture from January to September 2025 [22] - The industry experienced a 3.84% increase in revenue and a 2.78% increase in net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant improvements in the third quarter [22][23] - The reduction in tariffs from US-China trade negotiations is expected to enhance the competitiveness of export-oriented companies in the light industry and textile sectors [23]