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10月内地经济金融数据前瞻

Market Overview - Chinese A-shares rose, with the Hainan sector experiencing significant gains, while Hong Kong's three major oil companies showed strong performance[3] - U.S. stock markets saw mixed results, with the Nasdaq rising due to Amazon's influence, but the Dow Jones fell by 0.48%[8] - European markets displayed varied performance, with the Eurozone manufacturing PMI remaining weak, impacting market sentiment[3] Economic Indicators - October's industrial output growth in China is expected to slow due to the holiday effect, with industrial value-added growth forecasted to decline[5] - Social financing growth in China is projected to decrease by 0.1 percentage points to 8.6% in October, influenced by government debt constraints[5] - The U.S. ISM manufacturing index has contracted for the eighth consecutive month, indicating ongoing economic challenges[5] Commodity and Currency Trends - Oil prices remained stable following OPEC+'s announcement to pause production increases, with WTI crude oil closing at $61.05 per barrel[24] - Gold prices fluctuated but ultimately rose above $4,000 per ounce after initial pressure from tax policy changes in China[24] - The U.S. dollar index increased slightly to 99.87, reflecting mixed views among Federal Reserve officials regarding inflation and employment risks[24] Fixed Income Market - U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.11%, influenced by a significant supply of corporate bonds, including $25 billion from Alphabet[28] - The Chinese bond market showed strength, particularly in investment-grade bonds, while Asian markets remained relatively calm[28] Sector Performance - In the U.S., the materials sector saw the largest decline, dropping 0.56%, while non-core consumer goods led the market with a 1.70% increase[8] - In Hong Kong, the energy sector surged by 3.2%, driven by OPEC+ decisions, while local stocks faced downward pressure[11]