可转债市场周观察:转债波动加大,交易型机会凸显
Orient Securities·2025-11-04 04:41

Group 1: Investment Rating of the Report - The report has a neutral view on the convertible bond market, indicating that the market is expected to fluctuate around the current level, and the convertible bond trading opportunities are greater than the trend opportunities [6]. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The convertible bond market is experiencing increased volatility at high absolute prices and valuations, with a greater likelihood of trading opportunities than trend opportunities. Institutions may increase their positions, and investors should lower their return expectations and actively allocate at low positions [6]. - Despite short - term market fluctuations, the slow - bull market under the technology theme remains unchanged [6]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Convertible Bond Views - The convertible bond market has increased volatility, and trading opportunities are prominent. The market is expected to be neutral, and the key to the future trend lies in the equity market. Investors should lower return expectations and seize trading opportunities [6][9]. 2. Convertible Bond Review 2.1 Market Overall Performance - Most indices closed higher, and trading volume increased significantly. The Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated after breaking through 4000 points. The Northbound 50, CSI 1000, and other indices rose, while the CSI 300 and SSE 50 fell. The power equipment, non - ferrous metals, and steel industries led the gains, while the communication, beauty care, and banking industries led the losses. The average daily trading volume increased from 523.755 billion yuan to 2.32 trillion yuan [12]. - The top ten convertible bonds in terms of gains last week included Titan, Dazhong, Zhenhua, etc. In terms of trading activity, Dazhong, Guanzhong, Yiwei, etc. were frequently traded [12]. 2.2 Trading Volume Increased, and Low - price and High - price Convertible Bonds Performed Well - Convertible bonds performed well, following the significant upward movement of equities. The average daily trading volume slightly increased to 62.146 billion yuan. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.79%, the parity center increased by 0.4% to 113.2 yuan, and the conversion premium rate center decreased by 1.0% to 18.7%. In terms of style, low - price and high - price convertible bonds performed well, while low - price and AAA - rated convertible bonds performed weakly [6][14].