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全球科技业绩快报:Grab25Q3

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the industry, indicating an "Outperform" rating for the company, expecting a relative return exceeding the benchmark index over the next 12-18 months [20]. Core Insights - Grab reported a revenue of $873 million in Q3 2025, marking a 22% year-over-year increase, with an adjusted EBITDA of $136 million, up 51% year-over-year, both reaching record highs [1][7]. - The On-Demand business GMV reached $5.8 billion, reflecting a 24% year-over-year growth, driven by effective strategies such as "price laddering + product tiering" [1][7]. - The company is focusing on long-term technological investments, including AI and autonomous driving, to enhance operational efficiency and competitiveness [1][12]. Summary by Sections Earnings Performance - In Q3 2025, Grab achieved a revenue of $873 million, a 22% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $136 million, which is a 51% increase year-over-year [1][7]. - The On-Demand GMV was $5.8 billion, showing a 24% year-over-year growth, with a 20% increase at constant currency [1][7]. Demand Strategy - The "price laddering + product tiering" strategy has effectively driven user demand and platform stickiness, resulting in a 24% year-over-year growth in On-Demand GMV [2][8]. - The introduction of low-barrier Saver products has expanded the user base, while higher-tier products have increased user engagement, leading to a 7% year-over-year increase in average spend per user [2][8]. Deliveries Segment - The Deliveries GMV grew by 26% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin reaching 2.1% [3][9]. - Key growth drivers included efficient user acquisition through Saver products and successful tier-up conversions, with approximately 40% of Saver users upgrading to higher-tier services [3][9]. Mobility Segment - Mobility GMV increased by 20% year-over-year, with transaction growth at 30%, indicating a shift towards volume-led growth [4][11]. - The average fare decreased by 7% year-over-year, reflecting improved service accessibility and operational efficiencies [4][11]. Future Outlook - Based on strong Q3 performance, the company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $3.38–3.40 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $490–500 million [5][12]. - The company anticipates record-high GMV levels in both Mobility and Deliveries by year-end, with a net loan book in Financial Services expected to exceed $1 billion [5][12].