DFD(SZ:002407) EBSCN·2025-11-04 07:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in its net profit, with a year-on-year increase of 407.74% in the first three quarters of 2025, despite a slight decline in revenue [1]. - The lithium hexafluorophosphate market is experiencing a price increase, benefiting the company as an industry leader, with prices rising by 91.7% year-on-year [2]. - The company's lithium battery segment is progressing steadily, with profitability achieved in the first three quarters of 2025 and plans for substantial capacity expansion [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.729 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.75% year-on-year, while net profit reached 78 million yuan, a significant increase of 407.74% [1]. - For Q3 2025, revenue was 2.4 billion yuan, up 5.18% year-on-year and 7.62% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 27 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 157.93% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 299.43% [1]. Market Outlook - The average market price for lithium hexafluorophosphate reached 103,500 yuan per ton as of October 30, 2025, driven by strong demand from the new energy and energy storage sectors [2]. - The company has a current production capacity of 65,000 tons per year for lithium hexafluorophosphate and plans to expand by an additional 20,000 tons [2]. Capacity and Production - The lithium battery segment is set to achieve a production capacity of 22 GWh by the end of 2025, with plans to reach 30 GWh in Q1 2026 and approximately 50 GWh by the end of 2026 [3]. - Expected shipments for 2025 are around 10 GWh, with plans for 30 GWh in 2026, focusing on various sectors including power, two-wheeled vehicles, and energy storage [3]. Profitability Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward, with expected figures of 147 million yuan (down 47.4%), 233 million yuan (down 30.5%), and 266 million yuan (down 40.3%) respectively [3].