Hundsun(SH:600570) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-04 08:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The industry is still at the bottom, but pre-receipts have shown marginal improvement. The company has demonstrated cautious cost control, and its profitability is expected to remain stable despite the industry's challenges. The report anticipates that the company's revenue and profit performance for the year will still meet initial expectations [6][5]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 69.57 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.7%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 11.43 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.5% increase year-on-year. The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted at 0.60 yuan [5][6]. - The company reported a total revenue of 34.90 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, down 17% year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.55 billion yuan, which is a 2% increase year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 67.74%, showing an improvement compared to 65.10% in Q3 2024 [6]. Business Segment Performance - The data service business is experiencing positive growth with a revenue increase of 6%. However, other business segments are declining, with revenue growth rates of -10%, -6%, and -8% for wealth technology, operations and institutions, and innovation businesses, respectively. The asset management technology and risk management segments have seen significant declines, with growth rates of -28% and -37% [6]. Pre-receipt Trends - The report indicates a positive trend in broad pre-receipts, which includes prepayments and contract liabilities. In Q3 2025, broad pre-receipts increased by 161 million yuan quarter-on-quarter, marking a 6% year-on-year growth, the first positive growth since Q2 2022 [6].