基本面高频数据跟踪：出口运价指数回升

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Core Viewpoints - The GSHS fundamental high - frequency index is stable, with the current index at 128.5 points, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 points and a year - on - year increase of 6.0 points, and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is downgraded, with the signal factor at 4.5% [2][10]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index is 127.4, with the year - on - year increase remaining unchanged. In terms of total demand, the high - frequency index of commercial housing sales declines, the high - frequency index of infrastructure investment increases with an expanding growth rate, the high - frequency index of exports increases with a narrowing growth rate, and the high - frequency index of consumption increases with a narrowing growth rate. In terms of prices, both CPI and PPI monthly - on - monthly forecasts are 0.0%. The high - frequency index of inventory increases with a narrowing growth rate, the high - frequency index of transportation increases with an expanding growth rate, and the high - frequency index of financing increases with an expanding growth rate [2][10][11]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index is Stable - The GSHS fundamental high - frequency index for the current period is 128.5 points (previous value: 128.4 points), with a year - on - year increase of 6.0 points (previous value: 6.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is downgraded, with the signal factor at 4.5% (previous value: 4.7%) [2][10]. Production: PTA开工率小幅上行 - The electric furnace operating rate is 60.9%, the polyester operating rate is 89.7%, the semi - tire operating rate is 73.4%, the full - tire operating rate is 65.3%, the PTA operating rate is 78.4%, the PX operating rate is 87.1%, and the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port is 56.0 tons [16]. Real Estate Sales: Commercial Housing Transaction Area Increases - The commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities is 30.8 million square meters, and the land premium rate for transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities is 3.8% [28]. Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt Operating Rate Increases Slightly - The asphalt operating rate is 31.5% [44]. Exports: Export Container Freight Index Increases - The CCFI index is 1021.4 points, and the RJ/CRB index is 300.9 points [46]. Consumption: Daily Average Movie Box Office Continues to Decline - The daily average movie box office is 30880000 yuan [55]. CPI: Pork Wholesale Price Increases Slightly - The average wholesale price of pork is 18.0 yuan/kg, the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables is 5.6 yuan/kg, the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits is 7.1 yuan/kg, and the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens is 17.5 yuan/kg [63]. PPI: Copper and Aluminum Spot Prices Continue to Rise - The closing price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (from Shanxi) is 770 yuan/ton, the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 65 US dollars/barrel, the spot settlement price of LME copper is 10964 US dollars/ton, and the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2868 US dollars/ton [70]. Transportation: Number of Flights Decreases Slightly - The subway passenger volume in first - tier cities is 40000000 person - times, the highway logistics freight rate index is 1049 points, and the number of domestic flights is 12461 [81]. Inventory: Electrolytic Aluminum Inventory Continues to Decline - The electrolytic aluminum inventory is 8.5 tons, and the soda ash inventory is 169.7 tons [87]. Financing: Net Financing of Local Bonds Increases Slightly - The net financing of local bonds is 178 billion yuan, the net financing of credit bonds is - 12.6 billion yuan, the 6M state - owned stock silver bill rediscount rate is 0.47%, and the average value of the bill rate minus the certificate of deposit rate is - 1.16% [99].