Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - A - share third - quarter reports showed good overall performance, providing bottom support for the market. However, the decline in domestic manufacturing prosperity in October may suppress the subsequent market trend. There is a situation of "good news exhausted" after the Sino - US summit, and the RMB exchange - rate pressure restricts the loose monetary policy. It is recommended to wait and see for the moment [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Disk - All major and secondary contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM showed a downward trend. For example, the latest price of the IF main contract (2512) was 4589.0, down 41.2 from the previous period. The spreads between different varieties and different quarters also changed, with some widening and some narrowing. For instance, the IF - IH current - month contract spread was 1594.8, down 33.8 [2]. 3.2 Futures Position - The net positions of the top 20 in IF, IH, and IM decreased, while that of IC increased. The net position of the top 20 in IF was - 25,348.00, down 1949.0 [2]. 3.3 Spot Price - The spot prices of the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, Shanghai Composite 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 all declined. For example, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 was 4618.70, down 34.7. The basis of the main contracts also changed, mostly showing a downward trend [2]. 3.4 Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume decreased to 19,383.95 billion yuan, a decrease of 1945.09 billion yuan. The margin trading balance increased by 83.61 billion yuan to 24,947.63 billion yuan. The north - bound trading volume decreased, and the reverse repurchase operation volume increased. The proportion of rising stocks decreased to 29.92%, down 35.03 percentage points [2]. 3.5 Wind Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - The overall A - share market, technical, and capital - related indicators all showed a downward trend. The overall A - share market was at 3.50, down 3.00 [2]. 3.6 Industry News - In October, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, and the non - manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points. As of October 31, the total revenue of A - share listed companies in the first three quarters was 53.41 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.20%, and the net profit attributable to the parent was 4.70 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.34%. The profit growth rate in the third quarter reached 11.30%, up 10.19 percentage points from the second quarter [2]. 3.7 Key Events to Focus On - Upcoming events include the Australian central bank's interest - rate decision on November 4 at 11:30, the US ADP employment data for October on November 5 at 21:15, China's trade data for October on November 7 at 9:30, and China's CPI and PPI for October on November 9 at 9:30 [3].
瑞达期货股指期货全景日报-20251104