Guohai Securities·2025-11-04 09:02Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in revenue and profit, driven primarily by non-interest income. In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a year-on-year revenue growth of 1.82% and a net profit growth of 0.98%. Although net interest income decreased by 2.07% due to falling market interest rates, the decline was less severe compared to the mid-year results. Non-interest income, particularly from fees and commissions, grew by 11.48%, maintaining double-digit growth [5][6] - Corporate loans have been a significant driver of credit growth, with total assets increasing by 8.90% year-on-year and total customer loans rising by 8.33% as of Q3 2025. Corporate loans increased by 17.91%, while personal loans grew by 1.90%. Customer deposits also rose by 6.08%, providing a stable funding source for asset expansion [5][6] - Asset quality showed slight fluctuations, with the non-performing loan ratio increasing by 2 basis points to 0.94% as of Q3 2025. The coverage ratio for provisions decreased by 20.14 percentage points to 240.21% [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 356.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 87.55 billion yuan, with projected revenue growth rates of 2.35%, 5.58%, and 5.72% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.83, 0.87, and 0.90 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 6.97, 6.62, and 6.42 respectively [5][6] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The company’s non-performing loan ratio is at 0.94%, with a slight increase from the previous half-year. The coverage ratio for provisions stands at 240.21%, indicating a robust buffer against potential loan losses [5][6] Market Performance - As of November 3, 2025, the company's stock price is 5.78 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 694.15 billion yuan. The stock has outperformed the CSI 300 index over the past 12 months, with a return of 15.3% compared to the index's 19.6% [3][5]