北方华创(002371):季报点评:营收持续高速成长,不断扩宽平台化布局

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [19]. Core Insights - The company has achieved continuous high-speed revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 27.301 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.97% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 5.130 billion yuan, up 14.83% year-on-year, while the net profit for Q3 2025 alone reached 1.922 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.60% [1]. - The company is expanding its platform layout in the semiconductor equipment sector, with significant growth in product offerings and market share, benefiting from the domestic semiconductor equipment market's expansion [8]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 41.41%, a decrease of 2.81% year-on-year, while the net margin was 18.24%, down 3.67% year-on-year [6]. - R&D expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 amounted to 3.285 billion yuan, marking a 49.86% increase year-on-year [6]. - The company’s inventory at the end of Q3 2025 was 30.199 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30% [6]. Product and Market Expansion - The company has developed a comprehensive product lineup in the semiconductor equipment sector, including etching, thin film deposition, thermal processing, and ion implantation equipment [6]. - In H1 2025, the company generated over 5 billion yuan in revenue from wet processing equipment and over 10 billion yuan from thermal processing equipment [6]. - The acquisition of ChipSource Micro has enhanced the company's capabilities in the front-end cleaning equipment market, further broadening its product offerings [6]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to benefit from the domestic semiconductor equipment localization trend, with expected revenues of 38.884 billion yuan, 49.150 billion yuan, and 61.440 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]. - The forecasted net profit for the same years is 7.582 billion yuan, 9.875 billion yuan, and 12.289 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 10.47 yuan, 13.63 yuan, and 16.96 yuan [8].