农产品期权策略早报:农产品期权-20251105
Wu Kuang Qi Huo·2025-11-05 01:56
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows different trends. Oilseeds and oils are weakly volatile, while some other products like eggs and apples have their own specific trends. Strategies mainly focus on constructing option - combination strategies based on sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product futures have various price changes. For example, the price of soybean No.1 (A2601) is 4,042, down 34 (-0.83%); the price of soybean No.2 (B2512) is 3,707, down 32 (-0.86%); and the price of palm oil (P2601) is 8,654, up 2 (0.02%) [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open - interest PCR of different agricultural product options vary. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 1.14, with a change of - 0.02; the open - interest PCR is 1.20, with a change of 0.05 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of option factors, different agricultural products have different pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4,200, and the support level is 4,050; the pressure level of soybean No.2 is 3,800, and the support level is 3,600 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different agricultural product options also shows differences. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 11.145, and the weighted implied volatility is 11.91, with a change of - 0.35 [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - Soybean No.1: The fundamental price is stable with a slight upward trend. The option implied volatility is below the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - Soybean Meal: The domestic soybean weekly crushing volume has decreased. The option implied volatility is below the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - Palm Oil: The production of Malaysian palm oil faces pressure, and the export growth rate has narrowed. The option implied volatility is below the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - Peanut: The price of peanut oil is stable. The option implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level. The recommended strategy is a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - Pig: The average price in some regions has increased slightly. The option implied volatility is above the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread strategy with put options, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy, and a covered call strategy for spot [10]. - Egg: The inventory of laying hens has decreased. The option implied volatility is at a relatively high level. The recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread strategy with put options and a short - biased call + put option combination strategy [11]. - Apple: The price of apple futures has increased. The option implied volatility is above the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. - Jujube: The physical inventory has increased. The option implied volatility has risen rapidly. The recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased strangle option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [12]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - Sugar: The spot price has decreased, and the basis has weakened. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level. The recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12]. - Cotton: The price index has increased, and the basis has fluctuated. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low level. The recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [13]. 3.5.4 Grain Options - Corn: The supply in the origin has increased, and the trading enthusiasm of traders has decreased. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level. The recommended strategy is to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy [13].