Workflow
股市缩量调整,债市曲线?平
Zhong Xin Qi Huo·2025-11-05 05:24
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views of the Report - The stock market is in a state of volume - shrinking adjustment, with the view for November remaining volatile, waiting for the spring rally. The bond market curve continues to flatten, and it is expected to be volatile and slightly bullish. For stock index options, the decline persists, and a covered call strategy is recommended for defense [1][3][7] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - Yesterday, the equity market had a volume - shrinking adjustment, with some indexes like Beizheng 50 and Kechuang 200 falling over 2%. The market volume dropped below 2 trillion. Only the dividend index rose, and banks and consumer services performed well. The decline is related to the weak Asia - Pacific market. The view for November is volatile, and it is advisable to hold IM + dividend index [1][7] 3.1.2 Stock Index Options - The underlying market continued to decline yesterday, with small - and medium - cap stocks having a larger pullback. The option market's turnover increased by 2.24% to 93.16 billion yuan, and liquidity was basically flat. It is recommended to use a covered call strategy for defense [2][7] 3.1.3 Treasury Bond Futures - Yesterday, most treasury bond futures closed down, with the 30 - year contract up 0.03%, the 10 - year flat, and the 5 - year and 2 - year down 0.01%. The yield of major inter - bank interest - rate bonds mostly rose, and the curve flattened. It is expected to be volatile and slightly bullish, and different strategies are recommended for different trading purposes [3][8][9] 3.2 Economic Calendar - China's October SPGI manufacturing PMI was 50.6 (previous value 51.2, forecast 50.9), and the US October ISM manufacturing PMI was 48.7 (previous value 49.1, forecast 49.5). Other data such as the US October ADP employment change, China's October trade balance, and the US November Michigan consumer confidence index are yet to be released [10] 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - On November 4, Fed Governor Cook said that each Fed meeting is real - time for monetary policy, and there is a possibility of a rate cut in December depending on new information. Recently, a draft for public comments on the performance comparison benchmark element library of public funds was issued. The central bank's net investment in open - market treasury bonds in October was 20 billion yuan, with 200 billion yuan in medium - term lending facilities and 400 billion yuan in repurchase agreements [11] 3.4 Derivatives Market Monitoring - The content only mentions the headings for stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures data, but no specific data summaries are provided [12][16][28]