固定收益部市场日报-20251105

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core View of the Report - Maintain buy on VEDLN 9.475 07/24/30 due to its all-time high first half recurring EBITDA [3][7] Summary by Relevant Sections Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, recent USD MEITUA 31 - 35s widened 2 - 4bps with RM selling; TW lifers SHIKON/FUBON/NSINTWs widened 2 - 5bps; BBLTB sub curve was 1 - 4bps wider; JP bank FRNs held up well, JP AT1s dropped by 0.3pt; JP insurance hybrids were marked lower; Yankee AT1s were down by 0.4pt then stabilized; NWDEVL Perps lowered 0.7 - 2.0pts, NWDEVL 27 - 31s were down by 0.6 - 1.3pts; LASUDE 26 was 1.4pts lower; MTRC perps lost up to 0.2pt; VNKRLE 27 - 29 recovered 2.7 - 2.9pts; GRNCH 28 fell by up to 0.5pt; Macau gaming stocks had mixed performance; HYNMTRs/HYUELEs traded 1 - 3bps wider; NTT curve was 1 - 3bps wider; PETMK curve was 2 - 4bps wider on the long end; SMCGL Perps/GARUDA 31 were down by 0.1 - 0.2pt; VEDLN 28 - 33s were 0.3 - 1.1pts lower; onshore AAA - guaranteed LGFV papers were sought after [2] - This morning, new CDBFLC 35 widened 2bps, new QBEAU 37 tightened 3bps, new STANLN PerpNC10 was 0.2pt higher; JP insurance bonds and MTRC Perps were down by 0.1 - 0.3pt; NUFAU 30 rose 0.9pt, SOFTBK 61/65s and NWDEVL 30 were 0.6 - 0.7pt lower; TW lifers widened 2 - 4bps [3] Top Performers and Underperformers - Top performers include VNKRLE 3.975 11/09/27 (price 60.3, change 2.9), VNKRLE 3 1/2 11/12/29 (price 52.0, change 2.7), etc. - Top underperformers include NWDEVL 6 1/4 PERP (price 42.3, change - 2.0), NWDEVL 5 1/4 PERP (price 44.0, change - 1.9), etc. [4] Macro News Recap - On Tuesday, S&P (-1.17%), Dow (-0.53%) and Nasdaq (-2.04%) were lower; UST yield was lower, with 2/5/10/30 year yield at 3.58%/3.69%/4.10%/4.67% [6] Desk Analyst Comments on VEDLN - VEDLN's 2QFY26 recurring EBITDA reached INR116.1bn, up 12% yoy; 1HFY26 EBITDA rose to INR223.6bn, 42% of full - year target of USD6bn; prefer VEDLN 9.475 07/24/30 with YTW of 9.0% and 106bps yield pickup over NICAU 9 09/30/30 [7] - VEDLN's average borrowing cost declined to c9.0% in 1HFY26 from c9.7% in 1QFY26, expected to fall below 8% near - term; PAT dropped 26% yoy to INR79.4bn due to one - off losses [10] - 1HFY26 operating cash flow decreased 12% yoy to INR162.3bn; spent INR102.6bn in capex, 61 - 68% of FY26 target; estimated 1HFY26 FCF was INR59.7bn [11] - As of Sep'25, cash and equivalents increased to INR218.6bn; total debt/LTM EBITDA and net debt/LTM EBITDA rose slightly to 1.9x and 1.4x; aims to bring net leverage down to 1.0x near - term [12] - Deleveraging may face headwinds from JPA acquisition; demerger hearing postponed to 12 Nov'25, seen as moderately credit positive [13] Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced issues include Alinma Sukuk Limited (USD500mn, 10NC5, 5.792%, T + 210), China Development Bank Financial Leasing (USD500mn, 10NC5, 4.6%, T + 93), etc. - Pipeline issues include Gaoxin International Investment (unrated, 3yr, 5.0%), Korea Electric Power Corporation (Aa2/AA/-, 3yr/SOFR + 95, 5yr/T + 80), etc. [17][18] News and Market Color - 99 credit bonds issued yesterday onshore with RMB106bn; MTD, 206 credit bonds issued with RMB190bn, 19.2% yoy increase [20] - Adani Enterprises 1HFY26 EBITDA fell 11% yoy to INR76.9bn, plans to raise INR250bn via rights issue [20] - Adani Ports 1HFY26 EBITDA rose 20% yoy to INR110.5bn, Fitch changed outlook to stable and affirmed BBB - rating [20] - China to boost subsidies for Alibaba, Tencent to cut data center energy bills [20] - Moody's upgraded Bharti Airtel to Baa2 from Baa3, outlook to stable [20] - GLP China repurchased USD205mn of GLPCHI 2.95 03/29/26, USD495mn outstanding [20] - Nickel Industries to hold non - deal roadshow on 19 Nov'25 [20] - Petron 9M25 revenue fell 10% yoy to PHP594.9bn [20] - Pertamina Geothermal targets 6.1% revenue increase for FY26 [20] - SK Telecom plans full - scale AI infrastructure expansion [20]