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先导智能(300450):业绩向好期待新技术持续突破

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 66.65 [1][4]. Core Insights - The company, as a leading player in lithium battery equipment, reported a Q3 revenue of RMB 3.828 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 13.95% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 9.00%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was RMB 446 million, showing a significant year-over-year increase of 198.92% [1]. - The company has successfully completed the delivery of core equipment for solid-state batteries and is committed to the industrialization of solid-state battery technology, having established a comprehensive technology matrix with 100% independent intellectual property rights [3]. - The company has entered the supply chain of leading battery manufacturers in various countries, including Japan, the US, and Europe, and has formed deep collaborations with several industry leaders [3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 10.439 billion, a year-over-year increase of 14.56%, and a net profit of RMB 1.186 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 94.97% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 30.93%, down 5.7 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to the inclusion of lower-margin orders from the previous year [2]. - The net profit margin for Q3 was 11.66%, an increase of 7.05 percentage points year-over-year [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 is maintained, with an upward adjustment for 2026-2027 net profit estimates by 10.30% and 17.26% to RMB 2.421 billion and RMB 3.093 billion, respectively [4]. - The estimated EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be RMB 1.12, RMB 1.55, and RMB 1.97, respectively [4]. - The company is assigned a PE valuation of 43 times for 2026, reflecting its leadership position in the lithium battery equipment sector and its unique capabilities in solid-state battery technology [4].