Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-11-05 09:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The real estate sector is a crucial asset allocation and investment direction for Chinese households, with stable housing prices being significant for facilitating economic circulation. The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized promoting high-quality development in real estate, indicating potential policy support [4][48] - There is an anticipated wave of development for high-quality housing due to policy guidance and changes in supply-demand structure, with a focus on core cities and strong land acquisition capabilities [4][48] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.7%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.5%. The real estate sector (Shenwan) fell by 0.7% during the week [4][7] - In the new housing market, 42 key cities recorded a total transaction of 2.43 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 4.8%, but a year-on-year decrease of 41.1% [14][18] - For the month of October, new housing transactions in 42 key cities totaled 8.43 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 34.6% [18][19] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of October 25-31, new housing transactions in 42 key cities totaled 2.43 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 41.1% [14] - For October, new housing transactions totaled 8.43 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 34.6% [18] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the week of October 25-31, second-hand housing transactions in 21 key cities totaled 2.05 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 23.6% [30] - For October, second-hand housing transactions totaled 7.32 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 21.2% [33] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is promoting a system of selling existing homes to mitigate delivery risks. Additionally, five departments issued a plan to support qualified commercial real estate projects in issuing Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) [45] - Guangzhou has released guidelines for constructing quality housing, emphasizing green construction and energy-efficient appliances [45] - Policy adjustments in housing provident funds have been made, including increasing the maximum ratio of monthly repayments to family income from 55% to 60% in Hainan [45] Company Announcements - In Q3 2025, several companies reported their net profits, with notable figures including China Vanke at -16.07 billion yuan (a year-on-year decrease of 98.6%) and China Merchants Shekou at 1.05 billion yuan (a year-on-year decrease of 11.4%) [48][50] - Financing activities include a loan agreement where Shenzhen Metro Group will provide up to 22 billion yuan to China Vanke [48][50]