Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in its main business, although the production of subsidiaries has lowered the overall gross margin. The transformer export value has reached a historical high for four consecutive months [4][9] - The energy structure transformation and the demand for AI computing power are driving the power equipment market into a high growth cycle. The global investment in the power sector is expected to reach $1.5 trillion in 2025, with grid investment surpassing $400 billion for the first time [9] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.65 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22.46%, and net profits of 48 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 11.38% [9] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.039 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.38%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 20 million yuan, a decrease of 23.00% [5] - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 338 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.14%, but a net loss of 3 million yuan, a decline of 144.87% year-on-year [5] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 12.18%, down 3.97 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 2.01%, down 1.06 percentage points year-on-year [9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for total operating revenue from 2025 to 2027 is 1.65 billion yuan, 2.19 billion yuan, and 2.80 billion yuan, with growth rates of 22.46%, 32.89%, and 27.79% respectively [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 48 million yuan, 65 million yuan, and 89 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 11.38%, 35.21%, and 38.39% respectively [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period is projected to be 0.25 yuan, 0.34 yuan, and 0.47 yuan [9] Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown relative returns of 11.17% over the past month, 1.63% over the past three months, and 29.62% over the past year compared to the North Securities 50 index [3]
科润智控（920062）：子公司投产拉低整体毛利率，变压器出口额连续四月创新高