Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-05 12:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the insurance sector, recommending several companies including China Life, New China Life, Ping An, PICC, China Pacific Insurance, and AIA, while suggesting to pay attention to China Taiping [5][70]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, A-share insurance companies saw a significant profit increase of 68%, with investment performance contributing 79% to the pre-tax profit increment. The total net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters reached CNY 426 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33.5% [3][11][12]. - The new business value (NBV) continued to show strong growth, with a year-on-year increase ranging from 18% to 77% among listed insurance companies, driven by preemptive product demand due to expected interest rate cuts [3][31]. - The insurance premium growth exhibited differentiation, with property insurance companies showing varied premium growth rates, influenced by structural optimization and operational strategies [4][45]. Summary by Sections Profit Performance - A-share insurance companies reported a total net profit of CNY 263.7 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 68.3% [8][11]. - The profit structure showed that investment performance accounted for 79.2% of the pre-tax profit increment, with insurance service performance contributing 22.6% [12][24]. Liability Side - The NBV growth remained robust, with the first three quarters showing a year-on-year increase of 14.2% to CNY 557.8 billion, and Q3 alone saw a 38.7% increase [3][35]. - The cost of risk (COR) continued to improve, indicating effective cost management among leading insurers [4][45]. Asset Side - Investment returns showed significant improvement, with total investment income for the first three quarters reaching CNY 886.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36% [24][57]. - The FVOCI equity assets increased by CNY 92.5 billion, reflecting a strong performance in the equity market [3][62]. Investment Analysis - The report highlights a positive outlook for the insurance sector, driven by ongoing capital market participation and external environment improvements, suggesting a potential revaluation of the sector [5][70].