Minsheng Securities·2025-11-05 12:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Eastern Airlines (600115.SH) [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported significant growth in non-recurring profit in Q3 2025, reflecting the benefits of ongoing reforms. Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 106.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.1 billion yuan, compared to a net loss of 140 million yuan in the same period of 2024 [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 39.6 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.53 billion yuan, a 34% increase year-on-year. The growth in profit was attributed to improved cost management and a significant increase in passenger load factor despite a decline in industry prices [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company reported a non-recurring net profit of 1.41 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 540 million yuan in the same period of 2024. The non-recurring income mainly came from government subsidies and land compensation [1]. - The company’s Q3 2025 passenger revenue decreased by 4.1% year-on-year, but the passenger load factor improved significantly, leading to a smaller decline in seat revenue of 1.5% [2]. - The unit cost of fuel decreased by 7.1% year-on-year, contributing to the overall cost reduction [2]. Strategic Developments - The international route network is being expanded, with capacity restored to 114% of the 2019 level. New routes to South America and India are expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [3]. - The company received approximately 1.3 billion yuan in land compensation for the expansion of Pudong Airport, which contributed to non-recurring income in Q3 2025 [3]. Future Outlook - The report projects an increase in net profit attributable to shareholders to 870 million yuan in 2025, with forecasts of 3.47 billion yuan and 5.18 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 127, 32, and 21 for 2025-2027 [4][5].