Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [44]. Core Insights - Insurance capital continues to increase its allocation towards stocks and bonds, with a total investment balance reaching 36.23 trillion yuan as of the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.4% [4]. - The allocation of insurance capital is primarily directed towards bonds (51.1%), followed by deposits (8.6%), stocks (8.8%), and funds (4.8%) [4][8]. - High dividend stocks constitute a significant portion of the insurance capital's equity investments, with approximately 66% of the heavy-weight stocks being high dividend stocks as of the third quarter of 2025 [9]. - Social security funds have shown a stable growth trend, with total assets reaching 3.32 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.2% [13]. - The basic pension system in China is projected to reach a total scale of 15.52 trillion yuan by 2024, with the first and second pillars accounting for 56% and 23% respectively [20]. Summary by Sections Insurance Capital - Insurance capital has maintained a high growth trend, with stock and fund allocations reaching 13.6% as of 2025H1 [4]. - The major investment focus remains on bonds, with a 51.1% allocation, while stock investments have increased to 8.8% [4][8]. - Heavy-weight stocks in the insurance sector are concentrated in banking, accounting for 47% of the total heavy-weight stocks [10]. Social Security Funds - The social security fund's heavy-weight stocks account for 14.6% of total assets, with a notable investment return of 8.1% for the year [13]. - The fund has increased its holdings in real estate and basic chemicals while reducing exposure to oil and electricity equipment [19]. Basic Pension - The basic pension fund has a total balance exceeding 8.7 trillion yuan, with a return rate of 5.52% for the year [22]. - The heavy-weight stocks in the basic pension fund are diversified, with significant investments in basic chemicals and electricity equipment [23]. Enterprise Annuities - The enterprise annuity fund has shown rapid growth, reaching a total scale of 6.75 trillion yuan by 2024, with a return rate of 5.77% [29]. - The investment style of enterprise annuities is market-oriented, with significant fluctuations in sector allocations [30].
从持仓看四类长钱风格(25Q3):险资持续买入银行,社保增持房地产、基础化工等
Huachuang Securities·2025-11-05 12:13