CMS·2025-11-05 13:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating with a target price of 515.00 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 21% from the current price of 425.6 HKD [2][9]. Core Insights - The company reported record-high total revenue of 21.9 billion HKD in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.4 billion HKD, up 45% year-on-year, and EBITDA reached 17.2 billion HKD, reflecting a 48% increase year-on-year [6][9]. - The report highlights strong performance across various business segments, with significant growth in spot trading and derivatives, driven by increased international capital inflow into the Hong Kong market [6][9]. - The report projects continued growth in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 17.8 billion HKD, 19.9 billion HKD, and 21.3 billion HKD respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 36%, 12%, and 7% [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2025 total revenue was 21.9 billion HKD, with a 37% year-on-year increase. Net profit was 13.4 billion HKD, up 45% year-on-year, and EBITDA was 17.2 billion HKD, reflecting a 48% increase year-on-year. The EBITDA margin improved to 79%, up 5 percentage points year-on-year [6][9]. - The revenue breakdown for Q3 2025 shows significant contributions from various segments: spot trading (11.1 billion HKD, +75% YoY), equity securities and derivatives (5.3 billion HKD, +17% YoY), and others [6][9]. Market Activity - The report notes that the Hong Kong IPO market remains robust, with 69 new listings in Q3 2025, raising 188.3 billion HKD, more than three times the amount raised in Q3 2024 [7][9]. - The average daily trading volume (ADT) for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached 238.7 billion HKD in Q3 2025, a 132% increase year-on-year, indicating heightened trading activity [6][9]. Investment Outlook - The report emphasizes the favorable macroeconomic environment, including easing US-China tensions and supportive national policies, which are expected to sustain investor interest in Hong Kong and Asian assets [9]. - The projected financials for the upcoming years indicate a strong growth trajectory, with total revenue expected to reach 29.3 billion HKD in 2025, a 31% increase from 2024 [8][9].