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半导体三季度业绩综述暨11月投资策略:盈利能力继续提高,看好存储和自主可控产业链
Guoxin Securities·2025-11-05 14:05

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry has shown a significant performance improvement, with a 46.59% increase in the semiconductor index from the beginning of 2025 to October 31, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 28.65 percentage points [3][22]. - In Q3 2025, the semiconductor revenue grew by 11.0% year-on-year, with notable growth in digital chip design (+35.0%) and semiconductor equipment (+32.4%) [5][48]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company in Q3 2025 increased by 80.4% year-on-year, with integrated circuit manufacturing showing an extraordinary growth of 6819% [5][58]. Group 2 - The gross margin for the semiconductor sector in Q3 2025 was 30.0%, reflecting a 2.8 percentage point increase from the previous quarter, while the net margin was 11.3% [5][67]. - The global semiconductor sales reached $208.4 billion in Q3 2025, marking a 25.1% year-on-year increase and a 15.8% quarter-on-quarter increase [7]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the storage sector, with expected price increases for DRAM and NAND Flash in Q4 2025, suggesting a favorable environment for domestic storage manufacturers [10]. Group 3 - The report indicates that over half of the 146 A-share semiconductor companies have achieved new quarterly revenue highs in 2025, driven by AI and domestic supply chain improvements [10][41]. - The analysis of fund holdings shows that the proportion of semiconductor stocks in active funds increased to 12.56% in Q3 2025, indicating a growing interest in the sector [3][36]. - The report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from the rise of domestic chip design and high-end chip trends, such as SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor [10][11].