宝城期货股指期货早报（2025年11月6日）-20251106

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of the stock index is range - bound, with the mid - term view being upward and the intraday view being strongly oscillating. The core logic is the mutual game between the fermentation rhythm of policy - benefit expectations and the profit - taking rhythm of funds, and the driving forces for the index to rise or fall are both insufficient [1][4] Group 3: Summary According to the Catalog Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the IH2512 variety, the short - term view is oscillating, the mid - term view is upward, the intraday view is strongly oscillating, and the overall view is range - bound. The core logic is the mutual game between the profit - taking willingness of funds and the policy - benefit expectations [1] Driving Logic of Main Variety Price Quotes - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The varieties include IF, IH, IC, and IM. The intraday view is strongly oscillating, the mid - term view is upward, and the reference view is range - bound. The previous day, each stock index oscillated and consolidated throughout the day. The total turnover of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1894.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 44.1 billion yuan from the previous day. The main market logic is the game between the two rhythms, and the driving forces for the index to rise or fall are both insufficient. In November, the incremental policy signals weakened, and external risk factors, although eased, still had uncertainties, so the upward driving force of the index was limited. As the stock valuation increased significantly, investors' enthusiasm for chasing high was not strong, and the profit - taking willingness of profitable funds rose. The logic of valuation repair gradually changed to the logic of performance fundamentals, and there was still a need for short - term technical consolidation of the index. In general, the stock index will mainly be range - bound in the short term [4]